Democrats Freaking Out Over Biden Polls; Trump Sits Out 3rd Debate
And what 2023 election results may signal for 2024
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Good morning!
Democrats are celebrating most of Tuesday’s election results —hoping that a win on abortion in Ohio, holding the Kentucky governor’s mansion in a deep red state and dominant wins in purple Virginia indicate positive things for them next year. Pres. Biden is hoping to run on abortion, among other issues. That said, all politics is local and the Pres remains pretty unpopular.
Tuesday Winners in bold below:
Kentucky governor: Andy Beshear (D) vs. Daniel Cameron (R)
Ohio’s Issue One (a right to abortion enshrined in constitution): yes or no
Ohio’s Issue Two (legalizing weed): yes or no
Virginia’s state legislature: Democrats hold state senate and flip House.
Mississippi governor: Tate Reeves (R) vs. Brandon Presley (D)
Have a good one!
Mosheh, Jill, & Lauren
🗞 NEW POLLS HAVE TOP DEMS HOPING FOR BIDEN ALTERNATIVE
New polls are raising renewed concerns about President Biden’s re-election chances next year. A new CNN poll shows former President Donald Trump narrowly beating President Joe Biden, 49% to 45%, in a hypothetical rematch. It follows NY Times and CBS News polls out this weekend that also showed worrisome numbers for Democrats. Voters doubt Biden’s ability to lead — and some dems (including Obama-era strategist, David Axelrod) worry his team is ignoring warning signs and not course correcting.
THE DATA
Let’s start with the numbers that freaked some Democrats over the weekend. In a hypothetical presidential election, polling shows Trump wins five of the six swing states — Nevada, Georgia, Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania — while Biden would win Wisconsin. Biden won all six states narrowly in 2020, and this major shake-up would lead to Trump back in the White House.
76% of Americans believe the country is headed in the wrong direction and the leading Democratic and Republican candidates are broadly viewed unfavorably, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll.
👎️ Biden’s public approval rating is at 39% — the rating has held below 50% since August 2021, but this month's rating was close to the lowest levels of his presidency, 36%, seen in mid-2022.
The Biden camp is putting on a brave face — arguing that polls often paint a dire picture for incumbent presidents a year before the election and most voters are not tuned into politics right now. President Biden’s reelection campaign remains full speed ahead. FYI—Biden turns 81 years old on Nov. 20 (his age is a major concern for voters)
Via: NY Times
IS THERE A PLAN B?
The filing deadline for presidential state primaries in Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina have come and gone — which means it is too late to get new names onto those ballots. More deadlines follow soon.
The only official elected Democrat running against Biden: Rep. Dean Phillips, a Democrat from Minnesota. He’s a businessman who first was elected to Congress in 2018. Phillips announced he was running for president against Biden in late October, citing his belief that the commander in chief cannot win reelection. A poll released last week shows Phillips with only 4% of support among potential Democratic primary voters, the same as motivational speaker, Marianne Williamson, who’s still in the race.
GLIMMER OF HOPE FOR DEMS
Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. appears to take more support from Trump than Biden, a new poll found. In a head-to-head match-up the poll found Biden narrowly ahead of Trump by 1 point — 47% to 46%, within the margin of error.
But add Kennedy in a three-way race, Biden is ahead with 39% to Trump’s 36% and Kennedy’s 22%.
Donor data shows Kennedy pulling more from past Trump supporters rather than Biden’s.
MEANWHILE, THE REPUBLICANS DEBATE AGAIN TONIGHT
It’s the third presidential debate — and the third Trump has boycotted. Trump maintains dominant lead among 2024 GOP candidates as the field narrows. The debate takes place in Miami-Dade County, Florida, and will air from 8-10 p.m. ET on the TV and digital platforms of NBC News.
Five candidates met all party qualifying criteria:
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis
Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy
Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley
South Carolina Senator Tim Scott
Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie
Jump over to the Mo News Instagram for live coverage.
⏳ SPEED READ
🚨NATION
📌 High court seems likely to uphold law banning guns for accused domestic abusers (NPR)
📌 Police arrest man armed with AR-15 near Capitol (FOX)
📌 Special counsel in Hunter Biden probe meets with House Republicans (NBC NEWS)
📌 Footage sought in deadly altercation at dueling pro-Israel, pro-Palestinian rallies, Sheriff says (ABC NEWS)
🌎 AROUND THE WORLD
📌 Israel fights Hamas deep in Gaza City and foresees control of enclave’s security after war (AP)
📌 Portuguese PM quits over lithium, hydrogen corruption probe (REUTERS)
📌 King’s Speech returns to Britain after 72-year absence, focus on crime as Rishi Sunak sets out priorities (BBC)
📌 Zelensky says safety rules ‘violated’ in Ukrainian military ceremony hit by deadly Russian strike (CNN)
📱BUSINESS, SCIENCE & TECH
📌 Newborn syphilis cases have reached 'dire levels,' CDC says (NBC NEWS)
📌 Meta failed to act to protect teens, second whistleblower testifies (CNBC)
📌 Scientists discover the oldest black hole yet — a "behemoth" 10 times bigger than the black hole in our own Milky Way (CBS NEWS)
📌 What's really going on with the electric car market? Automakers are tapping the brakes (AXIOS)
🎬 SPORTS & ENTERTAINMENT
📌 Four men charged with stealing 18-karat golden toilet worth $6 million (CNN)
📌 Barbra Streisand's memoir reveals relationship secrets and stage fright dating back to "Funny Girl" (SALON)
📌 Ex-college football staffer shared docs with Michigan, showing Big Ten team had Wolverines’ signs (AP)
📌 Serena Williams accepts fashion icon award from Kim Kardashian, Khaite wins big at 2023 CFDA Awards (USA TODAY)
🗓 ON THIS DAY: NOVEMBER 8
1895: German physicist, Wilhelm Conrad Röntgen, discovers X-rays which leads to him winning the first Nobel Prize for Physics in 1901 for his discovery of the “remarkable rays”.
Go to Mo News’ Instagram stories to see why the heavy lead X-ray aprons used during dentist visits may do more harm than good.
1971: “Stairway to Heaven” by Led Zeppelin was released on the album Led Zeppelin IV. The eight-minute-long song was never released as a single, but has been a mainstay of rock radio for the past 50 years.
2002: ‘8 Mile,’ starring Eminem premieres in theaters.